for myself the data points are a bit different
the copa trial, Creg picked the battleground and the weapons and then did not deliver after years of promising.
To myself this made it clear it was not a case of Creg will not sign but cannot sign.
the argument of "you don't disclose your bank balance" was null once he provided a list of addresses to the court
But other points
firstly Cregs Granddad means Creg was born into those circles, and later we see him at an evening with Princess Anne.
The humiliation bit he had to do, asking Elon to attend a conference or talk or whatever, after he had been cussing Elon publicly, hand signs, shirt colour, to myself it seemed obvious he was being put in his place.
The Dave Kleiman looks like he was most certainly taken out, and Creg made sure to post himself crying afterwards, who does that?
Then Ira, the story then contacted him after etc to "help" get the coins
and a big mystery that was brought up in the court cases with his name mentioned many times, but nobody ever talks about and I had not heard him mentioned till the court cases is Gareth Williams.
BTW, I initially got into bitcoin, not because I thought it would free the world, I got into bitcoin because I could see it is what the NWO would need, and I could make some $$$ as we march towards our dystopian future.