The recession is a direct result of lockdown which was not necessary. Boris and his government imposed the lockdown, he is responsible for this disaster.
See https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/05/15/we-could-open-up-again-and-forget-the-whole-thing/
spiked-online.com ‘We could open up again and forget the whole thing’ Epidemiologist Knut Wittkowski on the deadly consequences of lockdown. If the hospitals will not be overloaded if we open again, than I agree, open it up. That is still the only reason for the lockdown. Germany is doing that and monitoring the R0 in order to tier their easing. Seems very smart to me.
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1G7DLq695juhR7QFz5jn1AaXH55Hxn4kZS VerifiedWe don't want hospitals overloaded.
But we also don't want a global great depression, and famines.
Optimizing for one at the expense of the other is highly unlikely to be optimal overall.
Regarding NY, I know by a direct contact from a medical staff that it was really really hard.
The question is how cautious you have to be when opening up because the effects of tightening are felt only weeks later.
Hospitals in the UK have been the quietest ever. I suggest a read of the article I linked.
I suppose because of lockdown + fear.
We will see, Sweden will be hit hard economically even if there is no lockdown apparently.
I am eager to see some easing AND no signs of collapse of the health system, I will celebrate this a lot.