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  "map_content": "The cost of great-power rivalry is conventionally measured against gross output, but the politically binding denominator is discretionary fiscal capacity: the public-sector residual available for new strategic commitments after mandatory social expenditure, debt service, and baseline security obligations have been met, together with the borrowing capacity that can shift current rivalry costs into future fiscal claims.\r\nBecause this residual is thin, procyclical, and institutionally contested, small GDP-level costs may consume large shares of politically deployable capacity. \r\nPopulation aging compresses the denominator by slowing revenue growth and raising age-related commitments, while weaponized interdependence raises the numerator by forcing rivals to spend on substitution, redundancy, and enforcement. Sino-American rivalry is therefore best understood not as a contest over gross economic size, but as a contest over the durability of discretionary capacity under demographic, fiscal, and network-strategic pressure.",
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